PropGolf's live model is running on Travelers Championship 2026 at TPC River Highlands. Below are the top 10 player-hole combinations our model gives the highest birdie-or-better probability — pulled directly from sim_hole_score as of this post's publish time.
These are the model's unfiltered picks (highest raw probability) — they don't account for sportsbook pricing, so an actual +EV bet depends on the line you can take at the time of wager. Live edge calculations against DraftKings and FanDuel update every cycle inside the app.
Top picks
| Rank | Player | Hole | Par | Model birdie% | Sim odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fitzpatrick, Alex | 13 | 5 | 72.9% | -269 |
| 2 | Clark, Wyndham | 13 | 5 | 71.6% | -251 |
| 3 | Hovland, Viktor | 13 | 5 | 71.2% | -246 |
| 4 | Matsuyama, Hideki | 15 | 4 | 66.1% | -194 |
| 5 | Hisatsune, Ryo | 15 | 4 | 65.1% | -186 |
| 6 | Scheffler, Scottie | 15 | 4 | 64.9% | -184 |
| 7 | Hoge, Tom | 6 | 5 | 62.0% | -163 |
| 8 | Cantlay, Patrick | 6 | 5 | 61.9% | -162 |
| 9 | Knapp, Jake | 6 | 5 | 61.1% | -156 |
| 10 | Thomas, Justin | 2 | 4 | 60.9% | -155 |
How the model builds these probabilities
PropGolf's sim engine fits per-course parameters from every captured tee shot, approach, and putt at this venue going back to 2021. For each player it samples 5,000 chained simulations of tee → approach → putt per hole, then aggregates the per-hole scoring distribution. The numbers above are the result of that process — not editorial picks.
Want the live updates? See the Travelers Championship tournament page for hole-by-hole scoring context, or sign up to track every market live.
Auto-generated from PropGolf's sim_hole_score table. Not betting advice. 21+. Bet responsibly.